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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2020-08-17T17:18Z

Model Inputs:
2020-08-16T18:24:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-25.0, Lat.=-8.0, Speed=541.0, HalfAngle=29.0, Time21.5=2020-08-17T00:21Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2020-08-19T22:32Z (+- 7 hours)
Duration of disturbance (hr) = 18.9 (+- 8 hours)
Minimum magnetopause standoff distance: Rmin(Re) = 6.8
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
Parker Solar Probe with estimated shock arrival time 2020-08-19T04:00Z (Glancing Blow)

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20200817_002100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :


Submitted on 2020-08-17T17:23Z by Colin Komar

A Notification with ID 20200817-AL-001 was sent on 2020-08-17T17:38Z
A Notification with ID 20200817-AL-002 was sent on 2020-08-17T20:37Z


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